J's Blog

Ex- Tropical Storm Karen a bust.

What was once a high-end tropical cyclone expected to landfall on the Gulf Coast is now nothing more than a remnant low producing a breezy day with some rain. The storm started out after a fly over of the storm showed strong convection near the center with winds topping of at 65 mph, 9 mph short of the speed needed for a hurricane, 74 mph. Model tracks had shown that it would landfall near Alabama and Mississippi before tracking through the Mid Atlantic. The forecast remained almost exactly the same for a few days, with wind forecasts lowering slightly. However, on Saturday at 1 p.m., the wind speed was 50 mph and the storms track had changed to it turning sharply east with the landfall being Florida. The convection was gone and wind shear along with dry air started to rip apart the storm. It weakened and weakened leading to the last advisory on 7pm CST. The remnant low that is now Karen isn’t expected to do a lot besides causing a breezy and rainy day in the East as a strong low pressure takes some of the moisture from it producing rain up and down the east coast with small pockets of 6 inches possible. The rain should not have a major impact on any flights or other things usually affected by tropical cyclones or storms. The low pressure associated with the rain today is the one responsible for the tornado outbreak Friday. Today severe weather can be expected in eastern Virginia and North Carolina along with eastern New England as the moisture, humidity, and rotation combine to make storms. A large line of rain is moving NE up the coast producing the storms. Thanks for reading and sorry for the late blogs! I have meant to post 3 earlier, and I never got to posting them after making them. Sorry again,

NOTE: Q1 for me ends on Friday, in which I will have a half day. I will try to uphold an oath to myself to make a blog for you. I will try to make it descriptive.

The Government Shutdown

At midnight on Tuesday, October 1^st, the U.S. government shutdown for the first time in about 17 years. The reason for this is the ongoing battle between the Senate and the House. They have been arguing over a funding bill which was due October 1^st, without this bill the government will run out of funding, and they must stop the printing of money. The House and the Senate are still arguing over whether to remove the funding of Obamacare, or to keep it funded. The House, whose majority belongs to the Republicans, is only making bills that remove Obamacare. However, the Senate, which is controlled by more Democrats than Republicans, is scrapping any bill that even touches Obamacare. President Obama who is democratic has also promised that any bill that messes with Obamacare will be vetoed immediately. Due to the basic gridlock, the government shutdown early Tuesday, and the government officially ran out of funding. The shutdown is costing the government more than a billion dollars each week, and has also caused a massive amount of federal employees to be furloughed. When a worker is furloughed, they are sent home until further notice w/o pay. But most people suggest that the workers furloughed will be given the money that they couldn’t earn when they return back to work. The government furloughed around 800k of their employees who were considered “non essential.” Some of the departments affected include the Centers for Disease Control, the Department of Food Safety, and some members of the Postal Service. The CDC has said that they will not be as responsive to outbreaks and diseases, and they will mostly only deal with large-threat outbreaks. They have also stated that they will be helping local communities, but not nearly as much as they could before the shutdown. Also, with the shutdown there came a wave of protesters who made signs like “Do your job so I can do mines” along with restaurants who were giving discounts to furloughed employees and charging members of congress more than usual. I myself am not really affected by the shutdown, except for one thing. Saturday I stated that I will do weather related posts, as I plan on being a meteorologist. Well, the shutdown has meant that even though the national weather service will still be up and running, developments of models such as the GFS will be halted. Now, the U.S. has been in a “race” with Europe to make the fastest and most accurate weather models. Since the shutdown has occurred, the already winning Europe will gain a good advantage over the U.S., and our polar satellite data could be lost anywhere from 17 to around 50 months. If this happens, it will greatly decrease some of our ability to observe and predict some forecasts. Now, all of this seems very bad, but it could end up being a lot worse. In Mid-October, congress will have to make a bill involving increasing the debt limit upwards from its current limit, about 17.6 trillion dollars. If that isn’t passed, then the government will completely stop all of its pay-outs, and any bills that involve the U.S. paying will not be made or passed. The effects of that could devastate our already weakened economy, and the stocks would drop big time.

I have enjoyed making my first post and thank you if you read this. If you have any comments, suggestions, or questions post them in the comments. Thanks for reading and this has been my first post as a tween (almost teen) blogger.

NOTE: Thanks to my typing teacher for giving me time to work on these at school.

NOTE 2: I planned on doing my first real post earlier in the week, but I have had 2 projects to do this week. One I finished today which was an oral presentation that I got a good grade on. My other project is a group project involving a big oral presentation complete with a PowerPoint, poster, and other items that relate to the Greek god Ares, god of war.

Short Range Forecast For The Eastern U.S.

The weather in the contiguous U.S. is going to be sunny in some places, while rainy and snowy in others. This is my first weather forecast and discussion so please excuse me if I make any mistakes.

Mid-Atlantic

Living in Virginia, this forecast should be the most accurate. The weather and temperatures in this area should remain very nice, but the temperatures will be above average. For Virginia, weather should be tranquil, with partly cloudy skies. Expect highs to be in the start at the low 80s, to almost 90 by Saturday. On Sunday, the region will experience partly cloudy skies with highs ranging from 86 to 73 as a cold front prepares to enter the region. In the Mountains expect spotted showers today, with a 25% chance of drizzle.

New England

The forecast for this region is not as nice looking as the Mid-Atlantic’s forecast. Today expect showers from Northern PA to Maine with temperatures in the low 80s to the 60s in Maine. Tomorrow, showers will still be in the area and temperatures will remain almost the same. However, on Saturday you can expect a very nice day with temperatures ranging from 80 to 67 in the afternoon with very spotty showers in some areas. On Sunday temperatures will drop some as a cold front enters the Ohio Valley.

South

For all of you in the Southern states (In the Eastern U.S.) the forecast is not promising at all. Today, rain is in Southern Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama as the humid air and heat produce showers and a very spotty t-storm. Temps will be very muggy as highs will range from 91 to 86 in the region with very humid air. Tomorrow, expect very rainy conditions if you live near Jackson Mississippi as a cold front nears the region, with rain being with them. Temps will drop anywhere from 4 to 9 degrees from today’s highs with it becoming humidor and humidor as the weekend progress’s. On Sunday, there will be showers in the area with a 50% chance and temps in the lower to mid 70s.

Thanks for reading if you did, and yes, I know there is a tropical cyclone in the Atlantic. I will most likely make a post Saturday on this system as it nears the Gulf Coast. Anyone in the region needs to take precautions immediately as the systems exact strength upon landfall remains lengthy. Since there is a hurricane watch, remember that it only takes one storm to determine everything. Remember that even though Sandy was only a Cat. 1 Hurricane, it is one of the costliest hurricanes to hit the U.S. doing more than a billion dollars in damage. Thanks for reading and stay safe guys!

NOTE: I am sorry for posting on Saturday, but I have made 2 posts for Today and I want to be able to be free tomorrow, but I may still make a post.

Tropical Storm Karen

Tropical storm Karen has been a point of interest since the beginning of the week for most meteorologists, and is now a named storm. Karen started out as a depression Tuesday into early Wednesday, and is now a tropical storm with winds at about 50 mph as of 10 P.M. CST with the pressure being almost 1000 mb. As it moved towards the U.S., I am expecting it to have a wind speed in between 61 and 64 mph if the models stick together. I am predicting the landfall to be in Southern Alabama or Mississippi as it makes an easterly turn towards the Gulf Coast. After landfall, I am guessing it will be absorbed by a low pressure tracking towards the Mid- Atlantic bringing rains and winds around 10 to 21 mph. As for the exact track, it will most likely go through northern South Carolina, then track straight through the center of North Carolina before entering Southside Virginia. Recent forecasts have the track generally in the same area but the wind speed weakening more than previously forecasted. This system’s forecast are likely to change in the future, and everyone in the danger zone needs to prepare just in case and pay attention to the media. Thanks for reading,

J's Blog

Saturday, March 29, 2014

The Wishing Well.

ROBLOX MYSTERY! SCREENSHOTS

Monday, October 7, 2013

Tornado warning for me!

Ex- Karen

Sorry, here are the late posts!

Saturday, September 28, 2013

First Blog!