Monday, October 7, 2013

Ex- Karen

Ex- Tropical Storm Karen a bust.

What was once a high-end tropical cyclone expected to landfall on the Gulf Coast is now nothing more than a remnant low producing a breezy day with some rain. The storm started out after a fly over of the storm showed strong convection near the center with winds topping of at 65 mph, 9 mph short of the speed needed for a hurricane, 74 mph. Model tracks had shown that it would landfall near Alabama and Mississippi before tracking through the Mid Atlantic. The forecast remained almost exactly the same for a few days, with wind forecasts lowering slightly. However, on Saturday at 1 p.m., the wind speed was 50 mph and the storms track had changed to it turning sharply east with the landfall being Florida. The convection was gone and wind shear along with dry air started to rip apart the storm. It weakened and weakened leading to the last advisory on 7pm CST. The remnant low that is now Karen isn’t expected to do a lot besides causing a breezy and rainy day in the East as a strong low pressure takes some of the moisture from it producing rain up and down the east coast with small pockets of 6 inches possible. The rain should not have a major impact on any flights or other things usually affected by tropical cyclones or storms. The low pressure associated with the rain today is the one responsible for the tornado outbreak Friday. Today severe weather can be expected in eastern Virginia and North Carolina along with eastern New England as the moisture, humidity, and rotation combine to make storms. A large line of rain is moving NE up the coast producing the storms. Thanks for reading and sorry for the late blogs! I have meant to post 3 earlier, and I never got to posting them after making them. Sorry again,
                                                                    J

NOTE: Q1 for me ends on Friday, in which I will have a half day. I will try to uphold an oath to myself to make a blog for you. I will try to make it descriptive.

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